Sure, “renowned Iowa pollster” J. Ann Selzer has been wrong before. But this kind of wrong in the polling business can leave a mark.
Selzer grabbed a lot of headlines a few days before the election (and not just from her home newspaper and Democrat Party shill, the Des Moines Register) with the shocking poll she did tracking the political sentiments of Hawkeye State voters. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll conducted by Selzer showed Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democrats’ replacement presidential candidate, leading former President Donald Trump, the GOP’s presidential nominee, by 3 percentage points (47 percent to 44 percent) in deep red Iowa.
It seemed insane, because it was.
Not Seeing Red
Iowa was called for Trump by The Associated Press less than two hours after the state’s polls closed. With an estimated 95 percent of the vote counted as of publication, Trump is clobbering by 14 percentage points (56.3 percent to 42.3 percent), according to the Washington Post.
Trump won Iowa by nearly 10 percentage points in 2016, and by about 8 points in 2020, according to The New York Times.
While the “red wave” predicted ahead of the 2022 midterms did not hit nationwide, it did hit Iowa. Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds easily won reelection, and Republicans seized control of all of the Hawkeye state’s House seats.
For the better part of a very long year, the first-in-the-nation caucus state showed Republicans from the start were firmly behind Trump. The former president outdistanced his nearest
